Gameweek 14 was another interesting round of fixtures, with many developments and implications surrounding our Fantasy Premier League teams.
It was business as usual in Manchester City, Arsenal and increasingly on the Newcastle United side but Liverpool suffered another defeat, this time against Leeds United.
But what does hope mean for our FPL?
Mark Toney’s replacement
It was one of the biggest talking points Ivan Toney (£7.5m) He received a fifth yellow card in Brentford’s 1-1 draw against Wolves. This means that he is now missing Gameweek 15, which would have been a very plum sio at Nottingham Forest.
That would be the last favorable fixture until the World Cup, when Brentford play Manchester City in Gameweek 16. So Toney became a must sell.
There are quite a few supplements for the next two gameweeks depending on how much money you have in the bank or how many free transfers you have.
If you have two free transfers to save some money I really like to switch to Darwin Nunez (£8.9m). Liverpool’s two closest fixtures are Tottenham (a) and Southampton (h) and looks to get more of their goal chances. Although their results have been poor, that is mainly due to their defense. They look good in the final third, scoring 23 goals in the league (fifth highest) from an expected goal (xG) tally of 21.42 (fifth).
Callum Wilson (£7.4m) it’s another good option and one that you could probably transfer in one. He has six goals and three assists this season and just scored his most points in a gameweek (19). Newcastle are looking great this season and I will score them in the next two games (Southampton and Chelsea).
Gianluca Scamacca (£6.7m) There is also the option that the next two fixtures will be decent, with West Ham United playing Crystal Palace and Leicester City, both at home. He has already started the last six games and looks to be ahead of their first choice Michael Antonio (£7.0m). He has two goals in his last six league games.
But if after a huge differential; Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) This is your. He is only owned by 0.6 percent of FPL players and has started Everton’s last three games, scoring one goal. His team has two big fixtures, alongside Leicester and Bournemouth, and is a proven Premier League top scorer. It is likely that he is also in prison.
What about Bukayo Saka?
Saka (£8.0) had to be substituted after just 27 minutes after picking up an ankle injury against Nottingham Forest. It looks like it will be out of action for at least a week, which means it’s probably best to sell it. As we only look at the next two games, we have to start our plans and transfers.
From several angles; Phil Foden (£8.5m) It is obvious that it is stored. His fixtures are too good – Fulham (h) and Brentford (h) before the World Cup – City are playing – and he is sparkling in form. The concern, however, is that in the last two league games he was benched. This was a surprisingly huge achievement when the city began to spread 10 league games.
Pep Guardiola talked about fatigue after the Champions League game against Borussia Dortmund and named Foden as one of his players. City will probably have a weak team on the pitch against Sevilla on Wednesday, as Foden is already fit to start in the Premier League.
For those who already have their Foden; Miguel Almiron (£5.6m), Leandro Trossard (£6.9m). and Marcus Rashford (£6.6m) Saka supplements are suitable.
Almiron has been absolutely sensational, registering seven goals and one assist this season. Only Kevin De Bruyne (£12.4m), Harry Kane (£11.6m) and Erling Haaland (£12.2m) scored more points than his 79. Newcastle scored 24 goals (fourth) with a xG of 23.10 (second) and the force is now clearly considered.
Trossard is also enjoying his best season with seven goals and two assists. Brighton face Wolves and Aston Villa next door, which is a good match.
Rashford has four goals and two assists and is unfortunately no longer attacking. Manchester United have turned the corner after a terrible start, and next come Aston Villa and Fulham, who are both calling games to challenge for a comeback. Town and Fulham are in the bottom six for goals conceded and goals conceded and expected (xGC), with Fulham dead last for the latter metric.
Sell or keep Haaland?
The biggest news before Gameweek started was whether Haaland would be fit. Turns out he wasn’t and it’s still unclear if he’ll be eligible for Gameweek 15 and beyond.
Now there is a reason to wait-and-see, and not to transfer anything at random – too much of a good thing. We should have clearer information by the end of the week.
However, if it turns out he won’t be fit for Gameweek 15 against Fulham then it certainly becomes a debate. A move to Kane could be good on paper. Spurs play Liverpool and Leeds at home in their next two matches, which have been lined up with attractive attackers.
The downside to this is that you lose quite a bit of value in Haaland and will have to pay more to get him after Gameweek 16, especially if you get him early. However, if Fulham is out of the game, he will suffer at least one drop in value, and it is important to remember that we are playing for points, not team value.
If we are in another touch and a situation where we are not sure if he starts at Fulham or not, keeping him is worth the risk of taking it. His points draw was huge and Brentford City at home afterwards.
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